Forecasters say Tropical Storm Kirk is on a path to dump heavy rains that could bring unsafe flooding to the eastern Caribbean.
The next Tropical Outlook will be issued at 2 a.m. The hurricane is moving west at about 10 mph and hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles.
Kirk is rumbling west-northwestward at a speed of 14 miles per hour.
Meanwhile, an area of low pressure off North Carolina has only a 30 percent chance of becoming a tropical depression. Another Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate Kirk later this morning. Regardless of development, it's likely to bring scattered showers and thunderstorms across portions of eastern SC and eastern North Carolina tonight. These adverse sea-conditions are expected to persist into the weekend when northerly swells being generated by the remnants of Post-Tropical cyclone Leslie in the north-central Atlantic, propagate southwards across the Lesser Antilles. As of the 8 a.m. advisory, Kirk was 950 miles east of the Windward Islands.
But the long-term forecast for Kirk is not optimistic for a lengthy life.
Despite gaining a second wind, Kirk is expected to weaken within the next 72 hours due to strong westerly shear as it moves over the Caribbean. "My staff and I are working closely with our partners at the National Weather Service located in San Juan, PR to ensure we receive real-time updates on the progress of Tropical Storm Kirk", VITEMA Director Mona Barnes said.
The longer-term forecast doesn't keep "Kirk 2.0" around for too long. If it doesn't develop today, it probably won't.
It is expected that the island will receive some gusty winds, shower activity and thunderstorms.
GOES-East satellite image of disturbance off the Carolinas on September 25, 2018.