"We're not expecting this season to be one of the most active on record", said Gerry Bell, lead hurricane forecaster for NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, at a news conference in Lakeland, Fla., home of NOAA's hurricane hunter airplanes.
Unfortunately it appears the 2018 hurricane season will potentially be just as risky, as the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released a report on Thursday indicating the season will see 10 to 16 named tropical storms with the number of hurricanes ranging between five and nine.
"We're looking at an 80 percent chance of near-to-above normal tropical storms in the Central Pacific", Ballard said during the Wednesday announcement of the 2018 Central Pacific Hurricane Season Outlook.
Hurricane season is from June 1 to November 30. And even if they do arrive as predicted, it's impossible to say for sure how many storms such conditions will produce.
It could be another active year for hurricanes in the Atlantic.
Maria, which made landfall in Puerto Rico as a Category 4 storm in September, is blamed for causing the island's worst natural disaster in modern memory.
El Nino, a climate cycle in the Pacific Ocean characterized by unusually warm ocean temperatures, works to suppress the Atlantic hurricane season, explained Bell.
An updated outlook will be released in early August, which is right before the peak of the season.
While the 2018 hurricane season is expected to be less intense than in 2017, there is still a heightened hurricane risk for the mainland US and islands in the Caribbean, Gerry Bell, a hurricane climate specialist and research meteorologist at NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC), said at the news conference.
"We know hurricanes can strike in a weak, relatively quiet year", Bell said. There were 17 named storms and 10 hurricanes, including Harvey, Irma and Maria, which devastated parts of Texas, Florida and the Caribbean. There were 17 named storms, including 10 hurricanes. NOAA's National Hurricane Center says there's "a high chance of a tropical or subtropical depression" forming in the Gulf of Mexico over Memorial Day weekend. "Those storms tend to track farther westward, and that's why the Caribbean and the continental United States are more at risk".
The tropical cyclone names are as follows: Alberto Beryl, Chris, Debby, Ernesto, Florence, Gordon, Helene, Isaac, Joyce, Kirk, Leslie, Michael, Nadine, Oscar, Patty, Rafael, Sara, Tony, Valerie, William.