Record low support among Latinos for Trump

Alyson Hurt and Domenico Montanaro  NPR

Alyson Hurt and Domenico Montanaro NPR

These record high early voting numbers have surpassed the early voting statistics of 2012. Among Latino voters on the last three voting days, the coalition had conversations with 14 percent of them after October 15, according to the group's data. AP also expects turnout will be higher overall due to high public interest.

Democrats invested less in Texas than in other states, but 67 percent of respondents said they had been contacted by Democrats and only 35 percent said they'd been contacted by Republicans.

The results came at the tail end of a contest in which both sides had sought to portray early voting results as tilted in their favor. Latinos tend to vote more Democratic. If Florida goes to Clinton, Trump will likely lose the election.

Republican businessman Donald Trump's victory in Florida was buoyed by a record turnout of more than 9.5 million voters, as well as deep levels of support among whites and older voters anxious about the economy.

Florida A&M political science professor Keith Simmonds said the experts under-estimated Trump's appeal to voters who are tired of Washington.

The get out to vote ground started with early voting and it won't stop until the last person votes on Tuesday.

On the other hand, Republicans have been running ahead of their pace compared to 2012, where Mitt Romney closely won in the state. "It's unclear whether Trump can consolidate 90 percent of the Republican Party", he said. Latino Decisions' survey showed 75% of Latinos backed Obama in 2012. More than 70 percent of the ballots are in.

In Colorado, the two parties are virtually tied at 35 percent. Like other Latino groups, Puerto Ricans are overwhelmingly rejecting the Trump-led Republican Party. But Clinton doesn't necessarily need the Sunshine State to win. And the Trump campaign "targeted rural voters, people in small towns, and they turnout for him in large numbers".

Early voting has already thrown up a number of interesting trends that vary from state to state. Early voting has been driven in particular by the historically Democratic Dane County as well as Fox Valley, which had a competitive congressional race.

Trump may hold a slight edge in Iowa and Ohio.

During the subsequent immigration debate in 2013 and 2014, the GOP's base voters blocked the amnesty bill drafted by Democrats and business leaders.

In practice, those vote shares would have boosted his national vote by one percent from African-Americans and nearly three percent from Latinos.

That changed in 2008, when black voters suddenly took the turnout crown.

McDonald appeared to be referencing an early voting site at Cardenas supermarket in the heavily Hispanic East Las Vegas neighborhood, which was still processing voters for about two hours after its posted closing time. Ballots from whites have risen.

OH does not provide breakdowns by party. According to a separate CNN article, President Obama won the 29 electoral votes by just over 0.9 percent back in 2012.

"Donald Trump has just been a lightning rod for new voters and new engagement", said Steve Slugocki, the chairman of the Maricopa County Democrats in Arizona.

Another close call will be North Carolina, where Mrs Clinton has lead for much of the past six weeks but the final average of polling from Real Clear Politics gave her opponent a 1-point edge.

"From our point of view, it is really about understanding how to best engage a community, and then moving forward", said Dorian Caal, director of civic engagement research at the National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials.

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